Powder Predictor

Fall season is upon us, and El Niño is nowhere to be found

By Reid Griebling
Real AspenSeptember 23, 2010
Well, another fall season is upon us, and as many of you have already seen, Real Vail has upgraded our site in a user friendly sort of way. It's nice to be back behind the keyboard. Thanks to all of you who check in.

This year's blog should prove to be much different than years past, as I now have full custody of my blog. No more sending emails to the editor in chief, hoping to catch him before he clicks into his skis for the day. Nope, she's all mine, which means during active weather patterns, I'll be updating this blog numerous times a day to give readers every bit of information that may be needed. Also, I'll be giving my best shot at forecasting the Aspen/Snowmass area for our sister site, Real Aspen. Input from you Aspenites is very welcome as I have only visited that part of the state a handful of times.

After a lackluster season of snow in 2009/10, the start of a new decade couldn't come quick enough. El Niño has retreated to the southern Pacific and kid sister La Niña is back in full swing. If hurricane season in the Atlantic is any indicator of what is to come for the western United States, we should be in for a whopper of a winter. Several named hurricanes have come and gone in past weeks with more in the forecast as tropical depression Lisa meanders off the coast of Africa. Need I remind you of 05/06? The same year as Katrina.

Our forecast for the next seven days is pretty typical for this time of year. Indian summer days, with highs reaching into the 60's and 70's and cool clear nights with lows into the 40's and in some cases the 30's. Great nighttime temps for Loveland and The Legend to begin the annual race to open, and I'm predicting a Halloween snowstorm to get the rest of the Colorado resorts prepped.

We welcome a Harvest moon tonight (Sept. 23), our first full night of autumn, as we wane into our favorite season, winter. The season full of hope, we pray to those who know us best. Ullr, St. Eulalia, Aisoyimstan, St. Swithin -- the deities we trust to bring us early snow, snow that lasts until April. It seems that the stars are aligned, this first week of autumn, as an almost full moon Sept. 22 bid goodnight to the sun, displaying an eerie glow to those who were under clear skies. We awoke to see our first dusting of snow, the highest peaks surrendering to winter's grasp. It was a small tropical storm named Georgette that brought the dusting of snow our way. Perhaps hurricanes are a harbinger of what is to come. Only time will tell. Enjoy!


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Snow Report

  24hr snow mid dpth snow cond.
A-Basin n/a n/a
Aspen n/a n/a closed
BC n/a n/a closed
Breckenridge n/a n/a closed
Buttermilk n/a n/a closed
Copper n/a n/a closed
Crest. Butte n/a n/a closed
Eldora n/a n/a closed
Heavenly n/a n/a closed
Highlands n/a n/a
Howelsen n/a n/a closed
Keystone n/a n/a closed
Kirkwood n/a n/a closed
Loveland n/a n/a
Monarch n/a n/a closed
Northstar n/a n/a closed
Powderhorn n/a n/a closed
Purgatory n/a n/a closed
Silverton n/a n/a closed
Ski Cooper n/a n/a closed
Ski Granby n/a n/a closed
Snowmass n/a n/a closed
Steamboat n/a n/a closed
Sunlight n/a n/a closed
Telluride n/a n/a closed
Vail n/a n/a closed
WinterPark n/a n/a closed
Wolf Creek n/a n/a closed
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Vail powder day snow snake
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Feb. 17, 2011 Surprise 14 inches of Fresh Powder